The percentage of race and the median income is often decisive when it comes to the presidential election. Despite common assumption the median household income of Trump supporters with $72,0000 higher than Democrats supporters that have an median income of $56.000. However, the support from black voters for Trump is virtually down to 0% . 

Fifty years straight Missouri voted for the candidate who eventually became president, until 2008. In the past two election Missouri didn't vote for the overall winning Democratic candidate but for the Republican candidate who ended up loosing. The same thing seems likely this election.

Both candidates who turned out to be the winner of the Primaries barely held the majority of votes. As a result is it possible that many disappointed voters might not be voting at all.

Shortly after the first third debate is Trump ahead by 9,5%. Hillary Clinton lost a lot of ground due to her scandals while Trumps seems not to be affected. However, there are still many days to go and with considering the unsteadiness of the polls, it is still possible that the trend will soon go the opposite way.

author: Marc Lennartz